How Having Negative Interest Rate Policy in Its Toolkit Would Make the Fed Braver in Confronting Inflation with Needed Rate Hikes—A Tweetstorm
DALL-E: "Federal Reserve in the style of Picasso" pic.twitter.com/HVX6mlMWBZ
— Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 29, 2022
Thanks, to Torsten Slok for highlighting that passage in Jerome Powell's remarks.
— Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 18, 2022
My prediction: when the Fed changes its inflation target many years from now, it will revise it downward, not upward. With a robust negative interest rate policy and a "Share Economy," 0 is best.
Other than the self-imposed zero lower bound or false "effective lower bound" on rates imposed by central banks on themselves & sticky wages unmitigated by Martin Weitzman's approach, there is no strong reason for any other inflation target than zero. Absolute price stability!
— Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 18, 2022
First, having barred itself from using negative rates, the Fed felt turned instead to "forward guidance" to provide pandemic stimulus. That is, it promised not to raise rates soon. Then to keep its promise, it didn't raise rates quickly even when inflation was ramping up.
— Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 18, 2022
On all of this, see:https://t.co/zXAx4ThVARhttps://t.co/YtT8DhjA4i
— Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 18, 2022
I've organized what I've written on negative interest rate policy here:https://t.co/Xz2vUwkPuS
— Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 18, 2022